Dynamic Asset Allocation Exploiting Predictors in Reinforcement Learning Framework
نویسندگان
چکیده
Given the pattern-based multi-predictors of the stock price, we study a method of dynamic asset allocation to maximize the trading performance. To optimize the proportion of asset to be allocated to each recommendations of the predictors, we design an asset allocator called meta policy in the Q-learning framework. We utilize both the information of each predictor’s recommendations and the ratio of the stock fund over the asset to efficiently describe the state space. The experimental results on Korean stock market show that the trading system with the proposed asset allocator outperforms other systems with fixed asset allocation methods. This means that reinforcement learning can bring synergy effects to the decision making problem through exploiting supervised-learned predictors.
منابع مشابه
Adaptive stock trading with dynamic asset allocation using reinforcement learning
Stock trading is an important decision-making problem that involves both stock selection and asset management. Though many promising results have been reported for predicting prices, selecting stocks, and managing assets using machine-learning techniques, considering all of them is challenging because of their complexity. In this paper, we present a new stock trading method that incorporates dy...
متن کاملOptimal Asset Allocation using Adaptive Dynamic Programming
In recent years, the interest of investors has shifted to computerized asset allocation (portfolio management) to exploit the growing dynamics of the capital markets. In this paper, asset allocation is formalized as a Markovian Decision Problem which can be optimized by applying dynamic programming or reinforcement learning based algorithms. Using an artificial exchange rate, the asset allocati...
متن کاملLearning to trade via direct reinforcement
We present methods for optimizing portfolios, asset allocations, and trading systems based on direct reinforcement (DR). In this approach, investment decision-making is viewed as a stochastic control problem, and strategies are discovered directly. We present an adaptive algorithm called recurrent reinforcement learning (RRL) for discovering investment policies. The need to build forecasting mo...
متن کاملDynamic Asset Allocation for Stock Trading Optimized by Evolutionary Computation
Effective tradingwith given pattern-based multi-predictors of stock price needs an intelligent asset allocation strategy. In this paper, we study a method of dynamic asset allocation, called the meta policy, which decides how much the proportion of asset should be allocated to each recommendation for trade. The meta policy makes a decision considering both the recommending information of multi-...
متن کاملDynamic Obstacle Avoidance by Distributed Algorithm based on Reinforcement Learning (RESEARCH NOTE)
In this paper we focus on the application of reinforcement learning to obstacle avoidance in dynamic Environments in wireless sensor networks. A distributed algorithm based on reinforcement learning is developed for sensor networks to guide mobile robot through the dynamic obstacles. The sensor network models the danger of the area under coverage as obstacles, and has the property of adoption o...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2004